BIRMINGHAM / ALABAMA — Patches of light rain are already falling across the southern half of Alabama this Friday morning as a wave of low pressure forms along a stalled front over the northern Gulf — with rain expected to become widespread later today and tonight bringing half to 1 inch accumulations across the state before a sunny and dry weekend arrives Saturday and pleasant conditions extend through most of next week.
Low Pressure Forms Along Gulf Front — Rain Spreads Statewide Tonight
The rainfall driver today is a wave of low pressure developing along a stalled frontal boundary sitting over the northern Gulf of Mexico. As this system organizes through the day, rain will expand from the scattered light patches currently covering southern Alabama into a widespread rainfall event blanketing most of the state by tonight.
The air mass in place is described as cool and stable — meaning thunderstorm development will be suppressed across most of Alabama through the event. Some chance of thunder exists near the coast, but high resolution models are keeping the unstable and thunderstorm-capable air offshore tonight — limiting the thunder threat to coastal communities rather than inland Alabama.
Half to 1 Inch of Rain Expected Over Next 24 Hours
Total rainfall accumulations from today’s system are expected to fall in the half inch to 1 inch range over the next 24 hours across Alabama. These are beneficial and meaningful rainfall totals for the region without reaching flooding thresholds — a welcome soaking rain event rather than a dangerous one for the vast majority of the state.
Birmingham 10-Day Temperature Forecast — Warming Trend Through Mid-May
NBM model data valid from May 1 through May 11 for Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport paints a clear and progressively warming picture for the region over the coming 10 days. Friday May 1 opens with a high of 71 and low of 51 before Saturday drops slightly to 69 high and 46 low as the rain system exits. Sunday May 3 rebounds to 72 high with a 46 low.
The warming trend accelerates through the following week — Monday May 4 reaching 77 high, Tuesday May 5 climbing to 78, Wednesday May 6 hitting 80 with a low of 61, Thursday May 7 at 75, and the pattern holding in the mid-70s through the second weekend before jumping to 80 on Sunday May 10 and 83 on Monday May 11 — signaling a clear march toward summer-like warmth across the Birmingham region by mid-May.
Weekend Turns Sunny and Pleasant
Rain ends from the northwest early Saturday morning before skies clear and sunshine returns through the day with highs between 68 and 74 degrees. Saturday night will be chilly with lows in the 40s before Sunday delivers a fully sunny day with highs climbing into the 70s — offering Alabama residents an excellent late-spring weekend after Friday’s rain event clears through.
Next Week Dry Through Tuesday — Wednesday Storms Return
Dry and pleasant weather continues through Tuesday of next week before the next weather maker arrives. Showers and thunderstorms will return to Alabama on Wednesday as a cold front moves through the state — though forecasters noted this system does not currently look like a severe weather threat. Thursday and Friday of next week are expected to be dry and pleasant as the front clears and high pressure rebuilds behind it. Stay with GordonRamsayClub.com for the latest updates.
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