Severe and Tornado Outbreak With EF2 to EF4 Tornadoes and Baseball Size Hail Increasingly Probable Across Oklahoma and Northwest Texas Including Tulsa Norman Fort Worth and Dallas

OKLAHOMA — Monday is shaping up to be a dangerous and potentially historic severe weather day across Oklahoma and northwest Texas, with a severe and tornado outbreak increasingly probable as a powerful storm system moves out of the West and sparks supercells along a dryline stretching into western Oklahoma and northwest Texas during the afternoon and evening hours.

Forecasters are warning of EF2 to EF4 tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and destructive damaging winds as the atmosphere becomes extremely unstable with strong wind shear in place creating ideal conditions for all modes of severe weather Monday.

Supercells Capable of EF2 to EF4 Tornadoes Expected to Fire Monday Afternoon

The atmosphere across Oklahoma and northwest Texas on Monday is forecast to become extremely unstable as a powerful storm system approaches from the West, combining with strong low-level wind shear to create an environment highly favorable for intense supercell development during the afternoon hours.

Storms are expected to rapidly intensify during the afternoon and evening as conditions prime the atmosphere for the most dangerous form of severe weather, with forecasters explicitly flagging the potential for a few strong to intense tornadoes Monday evening as the low-level jet strengthens after sunset.

The tornado threat is significant enough that forecasters are specifically referencing EF2 to EF4 intensity tornadoes, placing this event in the category of a potentially major and life-threatening tornado outbreak for northern and central Oklahoma.

Northern and Central Oklahoma Facing Greatest Tornado Risk Including Enid Ponca City and Tulsa

The highest tornado risk on Monday is currently centered across northern and central Oklahoma, with growing concern for very large hail, damaging winds, and strong to intense tornadoes across communities including Enid, Ponca City, Pawnee, Woodward, Alva, Bartlesville, Tulsa, Muskogee, Norman, Lawton, and McAlester.

The outlined threat zone covers essentially the entire state of Oklahoma, indicating that no portion of the state should consider itself outside the reach of Monday’s dangerous severe weather potential.

Supercells developing across the dryline are capable of producing all modes of severe weather simultaneously, meaning residents across northern and central Oklahoma face threats from tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and destructive straight-line winds all at the same time Monday evening.

Northwest Texas Also Threatened With Large Hail Damaging Winds and Tornadoes Monday

Parts of western and northern Texas are not immune to Monday’s severe weather outbreak, with forecasters warning that severe thunderstorms could develop near the dryline across northwest Texas as well.

Any storms forming in Texas carry the potential to produce very large hail and damaging winds alongside a tornado threat, placing communities including Wichita Falls, Seymour, Jacksboro, Fort Worth, Dallas, Childress, and Abilene all within range of significant severe weather impacts Monday.

Storms are expected to become more widespread into the evening and overnight hours as a cold front pushes southeast into the region, expanding the threat zone and prolonging the dangerous weather window well into Monday night for both Oklahoma and Texas residents. Stay with GordonRamsayClub.com for the latest updates.