Tennessee Mississippi and Alabama Facing Imminent Severe Thunderstorm Watch with 55 to 70 MPH Winds as SPC Sets Watch Probability at 80 Percent

HUNTSVILLE, ALABAMA — The Storm Prediction Center has issued Mesoscale Discussion 934 signaling a severe thunderstorm watch is forthcoming for parts of Tennessee, Mississippi, and Alabama, with an 80 percent watch probability and damaging wind gusts of 55 to 70 MPH expected to increase through the afternoon hours on June 1, 2026.

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 934 Sets 80 Percent Watch Probability for Three State Region

Mesoscale Discussion 934 issued by the Storm Prediction Center is valid until 11:30 AM CDT on June 1, 2026 and concerns severe potential across a broad zone covering portions of Tennessee, Mississippi, and Alabama. The watch probability has been set at 80 percent, making a formal severe thunderstorm watch issuance highly likely in the coming hours. The watch area outlined on the map stretches from the Memphis corridor southward through Tupelo, Oxford, and Hamilton and eastward through Florence, Huntsville, Decatur, Russellville, and Cullman in north Alabama.

Damaging Winds of 55 to 70 MPH Identified as Most Probable Peak Threat

The SPC has identified wind as the primary hazard from this system, with most probable peak intensity set at 55 to 70 MPH damaging wind gusts. Hail up to 1.25 inches is also possible across the watch area. Forecasters specifically note that damaging wind potential is expected to increase through the afternoon hours, meaning conditions will deteriorate as the day progresses across the three state region.

Watch Area Covers Memphis Through North Alabama Corridor

The outlined watch likely zone on the SPC discussion map covers a significant swath of the mid-South, including Memphis and surrounding communities in western Tennessee, Tupelo and Oxford in northern Mississippi, and a broad stretch of north Alabama from Florence and Russellville through Huntsville, Decatur, Cullman, and Gadsden. Residents across this entire corridor should treat an imminent severe thunderstorm watch as already in effect and take immediate precautions.

Residents Across All Three States Should Act Now Ahead of Watch Issuance

With an 80 percent watch probability and damaging winds expected to intensify through the afternoon, residents across Tennessee, Mississippi, and Alabama should not wait for a formal watch issuance before preparing. Securing outdoor items, charging devices, and identifying shelter locations ahead of storm arrival is strongly recommended across the entire outlined region.

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